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Fed Decision in October?

Fed·fomc·Trump

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

53%

25 bps increase

46%

50+ bps increase

<1%

WhaleWatch-09382

TheReturnOfDarthMaul is up 5.26% on their $47,654.82 bet on 25 bps decrease with outcome No. Current value: $50,163.50. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.

molala

We got fuck hard

0x600a92058a5965dd7B37C10D0dae005a17c81CbE-1781439946954

nice

memorymaker2049

This is bad

YourLostMojo

Damn, no change guys got wrecked

allenzzz

nice try guys

German240706

how long until i can cashout?

CT08.3

3 days

WhaleWatch-09382

TheReturnOfDarthMaul is up 5.26% on their $47,654.82 bet on 25 bps decrease with outcome No. Current value: $50,163.50. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.

molala

We got fuck hard

0x600a92058a5965dd7B37C10D0dae005a17c81CbE-1781439946954

nice

memorymaker2049

This is bad

YourLostMojo

Damn, no change guys got wrecked

allenzzz

nice try guys

German240706

how long until i can cashout?

CT08.3

3 days

WhaleWatch-09382

TheReturnOfDarthMaul is up 5.26% on their $47,654.82 bet on 25 bps decrease with outcome No. Current value: $50,163.50. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.

molala

We got fuck hard

0x600a92058a5965dd7B37C10D0dae005a17c81CbE-1781439946954

nice

memorymaker2049

This is bad

YourLostMojo

Damn, no change guys got wrecked

allenzzz

nice try guys

German240706

how long until i can cashout?

CT08.3

3 days

25 bps decrease<1%

No change53%

25 bps increase46%

50+ bps increase<1%

$4.6M Vol

Ends Oct 29, 2026

Fed

Fed Decision in October?

50+ bps decrease 0% Yes No
25 bps decrease 1% Yes No
3 more
$4.6MVol. 29 oct Fed

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 95% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 2% Yes No
11 more
$52.7MVol. 31 dec Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec

Fed Decision in December?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No
25 bps decrease 1% Yes No
3 more
$956.9KVol. 10 dec Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?

Inflation 40+ times 0% Yes No
Inflation 20+ times 0% Yes No
20 more
$143.0KVol. 17 sept Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

January Meeting 0% Yes No
March Meeting 0% Yes No
11 more
$3.6MVol. 8 jan Jerome Powell

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 0% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 21% Yes No
4 more
$457.8KVol. 1 jan Fed

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

2.25% 0% Yes No
2.5% 0% Yes No
13 more
$6.9MVol. 9 dec Fed Rates

Fed Decision in January?

50+ bps decrease 5% Yes No
25 bps decrease 8% Yes No
3 more
$82.9KVol. 28 jan Fed

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike 37% Yes No
Hike–Pause–Pause 20% Yes No
7 more
$40.0KVol. 10 dec Fed

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 5.0% 3% Yes No
↑ 5.5% 2% Yes No
19 more
$1.8MVol. 31 dec Jerome Powell

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

8%

Chance

Yes8¢ No92¢
$21.4KVol. 1 jan Fed

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

December 31, 2026 3% Yes No
June 30, 2027 10% Yes No
$40.2KVol. 1 jul Fed

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

80%

Chance

Yes80¢ No21¢
$2.6KVol. 9 dec Fed

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

September 30 0% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No
2 more
$23.2KVol. 1 jan Fed

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

0 19% Yes No
1 17% Yes No
3 more
$8.2KVol. 10 dec Fed

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

December 31 11% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
3 more
$31.3KVol. 1 jan Politics

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

6%

Chance

Yes6¢ No94¢
$218.9KVol. 1 jan Business

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

0 15% Yes No
1 20% Yes No
3 more
$2.0KVol. 29 oct Fed

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

0 19% Yes No
1 19% Yes No
3 more
$10.0KVol. 28 jan Fed

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

3%

Chance

Yes3¢ No97¢
$5.7KVol. 1 jan Fed Rates