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Iran Ceasefire predictions & odds

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

November 3

100%

Yes100%No<1%

November 4

100%

Yes100%No<1%

$47M Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 31

100%

Yes100%No<1%

November 2

100%

Yes100%No<1%

$42M Vol.

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

November 5

99%

Yes99%No1%

November 6

96%

Yes96%No5%

$937K Vol.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

70%

Yes70%No31%

December 31

43%

Yes43%No57%

$48M Vol.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 31

10%

Yes10%No91%

November 30

3%

Yes3%No97%

$21M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

10%

chance

Yes

No

$17M Vol.

Iran full airspace closure by...?

December 31

26%

Yes26%No75%

November 30

16%

Yes16%No85%

$11M Vol.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 31

6%

Yes6%No95%

$77M Vol.