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Fed rate cut by...?

Jerome Powell Vol. $3,644,550 72 traders

December 2026 Meeting4%
October 2026 Meeting2%
June Meeting0%
September 2026 Meeting0%
$3,644,550 Vol. Jerome Powell

Outcomes

13
Chance
January Meeting Resolved
0% ▼ 1
March Meeting Resolved
0%
April Meeting Resolved
0%
June Meeting Resolved
0% ▼ 1
January 2027 Meeting
28%
March 2027 Meeting
32%
July 2027 Meeting
51%
April 2027 Meeting
53%
June 2027 Meeting
50%
July Meeting Resolved
0%
September 2026 Meeting Resolved
0%
October 2026 Meeting
2% ▼ 1
December 2026 Meeting
4%

Recent trades

  • No recent trades

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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