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Fed Decision in October?

Fed·fomc·Trump

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

53%

25 bps increase

46%

50+ bps increase

<1%

WhaleWatch-09382

TheReturnOfDarthMaul is up 5.26% on their $47,654.82 bet on 25 bps decrease with outcome No. Current value: $50,163.50. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.

molala

We got fuck hard

0x600a92058a5965dd7B37C10D0dae005a17c81CbE-1781439946954

nice

memorymaker2049

This is bad

YourLostMojo

Damn, no change guys got wrecked

allenzzz

nice try guys

German240706

how long until i can cashout?

CT08.3

3 days

WhaleWatch-09382

TheReturnOfDarthMaul is up 5.26% on their $47,654.82 bet on 25 bps decrease with outcome No. Current value: $50,163.50. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.

molala

We got fuck hard

0x600a92058a5965dd7B37C10D0dae005a17c81CbE-1781439946954

nice

memorymaker2049

This is bad

YourLostMojo

Damn, no change guys got wrecked

allenzzz

nice try guys

German240706

how long until i can cashout?

CT08.3

3 days

WhaleWatch-09382

TheReturnOfDarthMaul is up 5.26% on their $47,654.82 bet on 25 bps decrease with outcome No. Current value: $50,163.50. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.

molala

We got fuck hard

0x600a92058a5965dd7B37C10D0dae005a17c81CbE-1781439946954

nice

memorymaker2049

This is bad

YourLostMojo

Damn, no change guys got wrecked

allenzzz

nice try guys

German240706

how long until i can cashout?

CT08.3

3 days

25 bps decrease<1%

No change53%

25 bps increase46%

50+ bps increase<1%

$4.6M Vol

Ends Oct 29, 2026

Economy

Fed Decision in October?

50+ bps decrease 0% Yes No
25 bps decrease 1% Yes No
3 more
$4.6MVol. 29 oct Fed

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 95% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 2% Yes No
11 more
$52.7MVol. 31 dec Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec

US recession by end of 2026?

12%

Chance

Yes12¢ No89¢
$2.0MVol. 31 dec Business

Fed Decision in December?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No
25 bps decrease 1% Yes No
3 more
$956.9KVol. 10 dec Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

January Meeting 0% Yes No
March Meeting 0% Yes No
11 more
$3.6MVol. 8 jan Jerome Powell

Bank of England decision in September?

50+ bps decrease 0% Yes No
25 bps decrease 0% Yes No
3 more
$345.4KVol. 18 sept BOE

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA 73% Yes No
Microsoft 0% Yes No
26 more
$7.3MVol. 31 dec Economy

Largest Company end of September?

Alphabet 0% Yes No
Tesla 0% Yes No
23 more
$1.9MVol. 1 oct Tech

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

50+ bps decrease 0% Yes No
25 bps decrease 0% Yes No
3 more
$859.6KVol. 18 sept BOJ

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.5% 100% Yes No
4.6% 100% Yes No
9 more
$461.9KVol. 31 dec Economy

Fed Decision in January?

50+ bps decrease 5% Yes No
25 bps decrease 8% Yes No
3 more
$82.9KVol. 28 jan Fed

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No
25 bps decrease 0% Yes No
3 more
$98.7KVol. 30 oct BOJ

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike 37% Yes No
Hike–Pause–Pause 20% Yes No
7 more
$40.0KVol. 10 dec Fed

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5.0% 10% Yes No
5.5% 7% Yes No
3 more
$511.8KVol. 1 feb Macro indicators

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 5.0% 3% Yes No
↑ 5.5% 2% Yes No
19 more
$1.8MVol. 31 dec Jerome Powell

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 4.5% 19% Yes No
Above 3% 100% Yes No
6 more
$1.5MVol. 1 jan Inflation

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

18%

Chance

Yes18¢ No83¢
$11.8MVol. 31 dec Politics

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

8%

Chance

Yes8¢ No92¢
$21.4KVol. 1 jan Fed

September Inflation US - Annual

≤2.9% 1% Yes No
3.0% 2% Yes No
10 more
$20.3KVol. 15 oct CPI

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?

Below 4.95% 4% Yes No
Below 5.00% 14% Yes No
7 more
$22.0KVol. 30 sept Economy