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Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?
$2,989,300 Vol.Jun 29, 2026PolyBet
Tucker Carlson
$114,824 Vol.
100%
Candace Owens
$125,173 Vol.
100%
Joe Biden
$2,400 Vol.
100%
Barack Obama
$17,489 Vol.
100%
7%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$282,753 Vol.
100%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,928,603 Vol.
100%
Keir Starmer
$43,878 Vol.
100%
95%
Jerome Powell
$8,012 Vol.
100%
30%
Nicolás Maduro
$34,462 Vol.
100%
75%
Kaitlan Collins
$1,848 Vol.
100%
70%
Megyn Kelly
$1,612 Vol.
0%
7%
Alex Jones
$2,137 Vol.
0%
2%
Pope Leo XIV
$25,830 Vol.
0%
1%
Vladimir Putin
$15,811 Vol.
0%
Pam Bondi
$6,780 Vol.
0%
J.D. Vance
$16,778 Vol.
0%
Melania Trump
$8,063 Vol.
0%
Xi Jinping
$54,236 Vol.
0%
Viktor Orbán
$7,500 Vol.
0%
1%
Elon Musk
$42,550 Vol.
0%
1%
Zohran Mamdani
$14,504 Vol.
0%
3%
Jimmy Kimmel
$182,997 Vol.
0%
19%
Emmanuel Macron
$15,015 Vol.
0%
12%
Freidrich Merz
$16,938 Vol.
0%
2%
Norah O'Donnell
$1,011 Vol.
0%
3%
Mohammed bin Salman
$17,713 Vol.
0%
Kevin Warsh
$381 Vol.
0%
1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Nega... This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
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