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Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?
$359,399 Vol.Apr 29, 2026PolyBet
Jerome Powell
$9,541 Vol.
100%
25%
Nicolás Maduro
$23,096 Vol.
100%
64%
Candace Owens
$441 Vol.
100%
48%
Joe Biden
$1,978 Vol.
100%
Tucker Carlson
$36,928 Vol.
100%
71%
Megyn Kelly
$21,820 Vol.
100%
71%
Candace Owens
$4,332 Vol.
100%
56%
Alex Jones
$19,865 Vol.
100%
86%
Joe Biden
$27,418 Vol.
100%
6%
Barack Obama
$56,331 Vol.
100%
45%
Zohran Mamdani
$1,958 Vol.
0%
13%
Tucker Carlson
$4,098 Vol.
0%
33%
Megyn Kelly
$758 Vol.
0%
23%
Alex Jones
$482 Vol.
0%
48%
Pope Leo XIV
$14,263 Vol.
0%
2%
Vladimir Putin
$9,774 Vol.
0%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$3,309 Vol.
0%
18%
Pam Bondi
$6,135 Vol.
0%
1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$24,617 Vol.
0%
J.D. Vance
$17,252 Vol.
0%
2%
Melania Trump
$29,664 Vol.
0%
Xi Jinping
$28,645 Vol.
0%
Keir Starmer
$3,201 Vol.
0%
4%
Viktor Orbán
$8,301 Vol.
0%
2%
Elon Musk
$5,195 Vol.
0%
1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Nega... This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
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