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Next leader out of power before 2027?
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Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$25,076 Vol.
100%
Macron - France President
$3,293 Vol.
0%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$3,765 Vol.
0%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$14,961 Vol.
0%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$13,853 Vol.
0%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$3,643 Vol.
0%
Albanese - Australia PM
$4,302 Vol.
0%
Newsom - California Governor
$4,337 Vol.
0%
Milei - Argentina President
$4,391 Vol.
0%
Starmer - UK PM
$4,920 Vol.
0%
Trump - USA President
$14,450 Vol.
0%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$15,716 Vol.
0%
Putin - Russia President
$256,060 Vol.
0%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$2,707 Vol.
0%
Lecornu - France PM
$5,761 Vol.
0%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$3,665 Vol.
0%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$3,885 Vol.
0%
Merz - German Chancellor
$3,259 Vol.
0%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$8,210 Vol.
0%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$2,970 Vol.
0%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$6,592 Vol.
0%
Petro - Colombia President
$3,681 Vol.
0%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$7,074 Vol.
0%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$3,502 Vol.
0%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$3,084 Vol.
0%
None before 2027
$11,258 Vol.
0%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual... This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Feb 27, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
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