← Markets
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Loading chart…
Maduro - Venezuela President
$194,815 Vol.
100%
83%
Macron - France President
$58,821 Vol.
0%
2%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$38,740 Vol.
0%
4%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$78,453 Vol.
0%
2%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$48,966 Vol.
0%
2%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$194,442 Vol.
0%
5%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$78,837 Vol.
0%
5%
Albanese - Australia PM
$42,750 Vol.
0%
2%
Newsom - California Governor
$71,146 Vol.
0%
1%
Milei - Argentina President
$46,584 Vol.
0%
1%
Starmer - UK PM
$45,995 Vol.
0%
5%
Trump - USA President
$79,647 Vol.
0%
3%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$49,441 Vol.
0%
6%
Putin - Russia President
$38,323 Vol.
0%
2%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$66,343 Vol.
0%
2%
al-Assad - Syria President
$5,840 Vol.
0%
3%
Lecornu - France PM
$62,968 Vol.
0%
3%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$67,933 Vol.
0%
7%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$73,322 Vol.
0%
40%
None before 2027
$62,458 Vol.
0%
2%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$41,206 Vol.
0%
3%
Merz - German Chancellor
$42,705 Vol.
0%
1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$35,781 Vol.
0%
4%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual that ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual... This market will resolve according to the first individual that ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 10:59 AM ET
- No recent trades