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How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in 2025?

Economy Vol. $1,100,397 50 traders

$1,100,397 Vol.Dec 31, 2025PolyBet
4.0%
$214,919 Vol.
100% 12%
3.5%
$462,391 Vol.
0%
3.0%
$262,915 Vol.
0%
2.0%
$39,893 Vol.
0%
1.0%
$47,224 Vol.
0%
3.6%
$17,101 Vol.
0%
3.7%
$10,213 Vol.
0%
3.8%
$13,496 Vol.
0%
3.9%
$32,244 Vol.
0%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between February 24 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Market Opened: Feb 25, 2025, 4:29 PM ET