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Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
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None
$94,474 Vol.
25%
2%
IA, KS
$748,155 Vol.
14%
4%
IA
$627,748 Vol.
14%
8%
KS
$13,267 Vol.
3%
2%
IA, KS, ME
$18,235 Vol.
3%
IA, KS, TX
$7,399 Vol.
3%
All 7
$50,211 Vol.
3%
3%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX
$14,550 Vol.
2%
1%
IA, KS, ME, TX
$8,174 Vol.
2%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX
$8,378 Vol.
2%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX
$13,148 Vol.
2%
IA, ME
$16,997 Vol.
2%
AK, IA, KS
$5,140 Vol.
2%
1%
IA, KS, OH
$6,871 Vol.
1%
IA, TX
$8,563 Vol.
1%
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME
$5,640 Vol.
1%
2%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX
$4,249 Vol.
1%
KS, ME
$6,422 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, MI
$15,042 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, TX
$6,523 Vol.
1%
IA, MI
$13,363 Vol.
1%
1%
AK
$5,414 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
$2,973 Vol.
1%
ME
$7,356 Vol.
1%
AK, IA
$3,428 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX
$11,688 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH
$9,914 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, OH, TX
$4,291 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX
$1,681 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH
$1,171 Vol.
<1%
1%
KS, OH
$1,931 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, TX
$2,200 Vol.
<1%
KS, TX
$7,968 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH
$2,093 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI, OH, TX
$1,840 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX
$2,116 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI, OH, TX
$2,337 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, TX
$2,328 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH
$2,115 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH
$2,457 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, TX
$1,797 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, TX
$2,044 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI
$837 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH
$1,713 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH
$2,334 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX
$2,645 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH, TX
$1,777 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI
$1,971 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI
$2,176 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH
$1,773 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH
$1,535 Vol.
<1%
1%
AK, IA, KS, MI
$1,972 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, OH
$2,872 Vol.
<1%
ME, OH, TX
$1,061 Vol.
<1%
TX
$8,268 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI
$977 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX
$2,224 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, TX
$2,814 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX
$1,827 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH
$5,511 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME
$2,029 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH
$2,495 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH, TX
$3,039 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI
$983 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH
$2,571 Vol.
<1%
OH
$5,289 Vol.
<1%
1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX
$3,510 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
$5,286 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI
$4,026 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX
$3,153 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX
$6,359 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH, TX
$2,772 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH
$2,796 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH, TX
$8,346 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH, TX
$2,460 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH, TX
$2,638 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, OH, TX
$1,845 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
$6,220 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH
$5,768 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI
$2,509 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH
$2,396 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, TX
$2,278 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH, TX
$1,113 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH
$4,494 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, TX
$4,332 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH
$1,839 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, OH
$2,877 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, TX
$7,065 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH, TX
$5,386 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH, TX
$2,241 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, OH
$2,461 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH, TX
$4,680 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI
$3,258 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH
$2,369 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX
$2,004 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI
$1,926 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, TX
$2,146 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI, OH
$2,018 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI, TX
$1,995 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH, TX
$2,310 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI
$2,305 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH
$2,309 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, TX
$2,685 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, OH
$2,687 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH, TX
$2,257 Vol.
<1%
1%
ME, MI, TX
$4,567 Vol.
<1%
MI, OH, TX
$3,391 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS
$1,876 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME
$1,987 Vol.
<1%
AK, TX
$2,955 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH
$5,307 Vol.
<1%
ME, OH
$2,488 Vol.
<1%
ME, TX
$5,930 Vol.
<1%
MI, TX
$5,724 Vol.
<1%
MI
$5,835 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH
$2,826 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, TX
$2,823 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, TX
$3,054 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, OH, TX
$3,538 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, OH, TX
$2,475 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI
$3,187 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, TX
$3,112 Vol.
<1%
1%
AK, KS, ME
$2,257 Vol.
<1%
3%
IA, MI, TX
$3,770 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI, OH
$3,026 Vol.
<1%
MI, OH
$2,697 Vol.
<1%
OH, TX
$5,894 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A s... This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027.
A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 26, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
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