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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Oil Vol. $126,737 50 traders

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; …62%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; …32%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Se…3%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Se…2%
$126,737 Vol. Nov 3, 2026
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$2,524 Vol.
62%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$20,970 Vol.
32%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$58,677 Vol.
3% 1%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$44,567 Vol.
2%

Rules

The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.

Market Opened: Oct 12, 2026, 3:05 PM ET