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Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$2,036,257 Vol.Dec 31, 2026PolyBet
Pete Hegseth
$264,358 Vol.
32%
11%
Kristi Noem
$104,205 Vol.
27%
Markwayne Mullin
$3,383 Vol.
23%
1%
Kash Patel
$331,999 Vol.
21%
3%
Howard Lutnick
$118,086 Vol.
20%
8%
Marco Rubio
$199,309 Vol.
14%
1%
John Ratcliffe
$3,518 Vol.
13%
2%
Russell Vought
$1,957 Vol.
12%
5%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$101,630 Vol.
12%
3%
Tom Homan
$2,985 Vol.
12%
9%
Lee Zeldin
$35,334 Vol.
11%
1%
Scott Bessent
$70,904 Vol.
9%
4%
Dan Scavino
$3,381 Vol.
8%
2%
David Sacks
$10,428 Vol.
7%
1%
Stephen Miller
$46,886 Vol.
4%
14%
Karoline Leavitt
$77,116 Vol.
100%
80%
Tulsi Gabbard
$100,648 Vol.
100%
40%
Pam Bondi
$365,319 Vol.
100%
2%
Dan Bongino
$5,144 Vol.
100%
16%
Susie Wiles
$182,556 Vol.
100%
58%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
$7,110 Vol.
100%
17%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Dona... This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
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