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Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
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None
$270,265 Vol.
25%
1%
IA
$655,680 Vol.
12%
4%
IA, KS
$786,942 Vol.
12%
3%
KS
$53,608 Vol.
4%
2%
IA, KS, ME
$49,198 Vol.
2%
1%
All 7
$80,098 Vol.
2%
4%
AK
$51,497 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX
$33,110 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, OH
$33,723 Vol.
1%
1%
IA, ME
$45,644 Vol.
1%
1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX
$42,637 Vol.
1%
3%
AK, IA, KS
$35,039 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, TX
$31,677 Vol.
1%
3%
KS, ME
$34,588 Vol.
1%
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX
$44,435 Vol.
<1%
2%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX
$47,485 Vol.
<1%
1%
IA, KS, OH, TX
$36,225 Vol.
<1%
1%
IA, MI
$53,726 Vol.
<1%
IA, TX
$41,111 Vol.
<1%
OH
$31,467 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX
$44,607 Vol.
<1%
3%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX
$45,824 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME
$39,502 Vol.
<1%
1%
AK, IA, KS, OH
$48,409 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, TX
$45,395 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, TX
$37,480 Vol.
<1%
2%
KS, TX
$38,906 Vol.
<1%
ME
$37,079 Vol.
<1%
1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
$38,518 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH
$46,972 Vol.
<1%
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH
$37,525 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX
$39,716 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH
$49,295 Vol.
<1%
1%
IA, KS, MI
$47,890 Vol.
<1%
1%
TX
$59,904 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH
$30,280 Vol.
<1%
1%
AK, IA
$25,182 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH
$48,511 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI
$35,279 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH
$29,356 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX
$29,346 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX
$28,696 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI
$40,136 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI
$39,098 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX
$28,732 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME
$35,112 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH
$35,125 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH
$32,779 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH
$38,011 Vol.
<1%
MI
$53,259 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, TX
$41,826 Vol.
<1%
1%
IA, OH, TX
$30,242 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME
$29,257 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH
$46,950 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS
$39,243 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX
$23,167 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH
$31,161 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH, TX
$22,477 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI
$32,459 Vol.
<1%
ME, OH
$43,861 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI
$37,224 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX
$31,077 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX
$43,071 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX
$26,671 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH, TX
$20,764 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, TX
$35,928 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI
$29,806 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI
$36,374 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, OH
$31,239 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
$34,687 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH
$28,745 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, TX
$30,507 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH, TX
$29,663 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH
$30,287 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, TX
$29,613 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH, TX
$36,076 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH, TX
$33,575 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH, TX
$33,467 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, OH, TX
$32,149 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
$37,652 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI
$31,036 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH
$31,160 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, TX
$33,227 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH
$35,304 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, TX
$31,774 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI
$32,732 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH
$30,662 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, TX
$30,718 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH
$23,527 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, TX
$29,246 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH, TX
$35,182 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH
$32,245 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, TX
$31,300 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, OH, TX
$32,601 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI, OH, TX
$31,261 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH, TX
$35,910 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH, TX
$28,303 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, OH
$44,312 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, TX
$29,785 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH, TX
$34,687 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, OH, TX
$28,538 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI, OH, TX
$32,236 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI
$31,047 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME
$36,918 Vol.
<1%
1%
AK, KS, MI
$32,749 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH
$34,934 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI
$57,312 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, OH
$34,184 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, TX
$32,478 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI, OH
$31,472 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI, TX
$27,300 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH, TX
$31,389 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH
$29,018 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, TX
$30,036 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI
$30,057 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, TX
$28,774 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, OH
$29,857 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, TX
$29,145 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI, OH
$34,072 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI, TX
$52,439 Vol.
<1%
ME, OH, TX
$30,884 Vol.
<1%
MI, OH, TX
$30,011 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH
$22,109 Vol.
<1%
AK, TX
$22,515 Vol.
<1%
ME, TX
$40,632 Vol.
<1%
MI, OH
$30,060 Vol.
<1%
MI, TX
$31,891 Vol.
<1%
1%
OH, TX
$31,550 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A s... This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027.
A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 26, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
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