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Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$432,732 Vol.Nov 3, 2026PolyBet
California
$17,468 Vol.
98%
Texas
$21,092 Vol.
96%
1%
North Carolina
$15,593 Vol.
97%
1%
Ohio
$8,247 Vol.
97%
1%
Utah
$96,128 Vol.
93%
Florida
$7,350 Vol.
99%
Louisiana
$24,005 Vol.
95%
Missouri
$15,481 Vol.
3%
1%
Virginia
$11,496 Vol.
4%
Alabama
$19,312 Vol.
62%
1%
South Carolina
$29,403 Vol.
2%
Georgia
$9,004 Vol.
4%
Kansas
$8,984 Vol.
4%
2%
New Jersey
$6,272 Vol.
3%
Indiana
$34,805 Vol.
5%
Washington
$11,032 Vol.
5%
1%
Nebraska
$7,744 Vol.
3%
Illinois
$12,277 Vol.
6%
2%
Minnesota
$16,825 Vol.
3%
New York
$20,535 Vol.
3%
Maryland
$16,428 Vol.
2%
Wisconsin
$23,249 Vol.
4%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
-... This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
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