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Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released on...?
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November 10
$1,054 Vol.
32%
19%
November 11
$1,088 Vol.
2%
2%
November 12
$886 Vol.
1%
1%
November 13
$525 Vol.
<1%
November 14
$567 Vol.
<1%
November 15
$380 Vol.
<1%
November 16
$569 Vol.
<1%
November 17
$884 Vol.
4%
1%
November 18
$604 Vol.
<1%
4%
November 19
$755 Vol.
<1%
2%
November 20
$757 Vol.
<1%
4%
November 21
$362 Vol.
<1%
November 22
$358 Vol.
<1%
3%
November 23
$626 Vol.
1%
2%
November 24
$1,920 Vol.
3%
5%
November 25
$423 Vol.
<1%
November 26
$430 Vol.
<1%
4%
November 27
$361 Vol.
<1%
November 28
$1,511 Vol.
3%
38%
November 29
$460 Vol.
<1%
November 30
$348 Vol.
<1%
No release by November 30
$8,203 Vol.
37%
On or prior to October 31
$259 Vol.
0%
1%
November 1
$447 Vol.
0%
3%
November 2
$351 Vol.
0%
November 3
$379 Vol.
0%
2%
November 4
$363 Vol.
0%
November 5
$450 Vol.
0%
1%
November 6
$324 Vol.
0%
November 7
$551 Vol.
0%
17%
November 8
$316 Vol.
0%
1%
November 9
$443 Vol.
0%
1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini" and "Flash-Lite" and be designated as version 3.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.6 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite would qualify, including a new... This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini" and "Flash-Lite" and be designated as version 3.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.6 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash-Lite, while models whose name does not include "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.6, such as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash-Lite Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Oct 28, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
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