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Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
$537,301 Vol.Apr 18, 2027PolyBet
Marine Le Pen
$32,543 Vol.
90%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$35,213 Vol.
49%
1%
Édouard Philippe
$16,370 Vol.
19%
3%
David Lisnard
$244,485 Vol.
18%
Christine Lagarde
$0 Vol.
14%
Jordan Bardella
$24,986 Vol.
7%
1%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$16,972 Vol.
6%
Gabriel Attal
$9,228 Vol.
6%
Dominique de Villepin
$2,989 Vol.
6%
Sébastien Lecornu
$3,180 Vol.
5%
Sarah Knafo
$7,984 Vol.
5%
Bruno Retailleau
$4,378 Vol.
5%
Clémence Guetté
$3,905 Vol.
4%
Laurent Wauquiez
$1,711 Vol.
4%
2%
François Hollande
$20,658 Vol.
4%
Manuel Bompard
$7,340 Vol.
4%
Éric Zemmour
$906 Vol.
4%
Xavier Bertrand
$2,886 Vol.
4%
2%
Juan Branco
$5,916 Vol.
4%
Fabien Roussel
$8,316 Vol.
4%
Bernard Cazeneuve
$5,802 Vol.
4%
François Ruffin
$9,551 Vol.
3%
Gérald Darmanin
$2,782 Vol.
3%
Marine Tondelier
$5,515 Vol.
3%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$2,159 Vol.
3%
Élisabeth Borne
$7,437 Vol.
3%
Ségolène Royal
$6,138 Vol.
3%
Olivier Faure
$6,236 Vol.
3%
François Bayrou
$4,448 Vol.
3%
Clémentine Autain
$6,152 Vol.
3%
François Asselineau
$2,846 Vol.
2%
Michel Barnier
$3,489 Vol.
2%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$4,796 Vol.
2%
Jean Castex
$3,439 Vol.
2%
Mathilde Panot
$1,922 Vol.
2%
Valérie Pécresse
$3,179 Vol.
2%
Carole Delga
$11,332 Vol.
2%
Rules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed can... The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/- No recent trades