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Iran Nuke before 2027?

Nuclear Vol. $1,593,772 50 traders

4% Chance20%
$1,593,772 Vol. Dec 31, 2026
Iran Nuke before 2027?
4% 2%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 6:10 PM ET