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Iran leader end of 2026?
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Mojtaba Khamenei
$7,113,215 Vol.
90%
1%
No Head of State
$1,182,586 Vol.
2%
1%
Alireza Arafi
$2,337,653 Vol.
2%
1%
Reza Pahlavi
$729,610 Vol.
1%
Hassan Rouhani
$958,973 Vol.
<1%
Hassan Khomeini
$1,460,756 Vol.
<1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,040,494 Vol.
<1%
Abbas Araghchi
$846,658 Vol.
<1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$790,747 Vol.
<1%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
$933,366 Vol.
<1%
Maryam Rajavi
$911,080 Vol.
<1%
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
$481,631 Vol.
<1%
Sadegh Larijani
$591,681 Vol.
<1%
Hassan Shariatmadari
$3,183,639 Vol.
<1%
Massoud Rajavi
$438,770 Vol.
<1%
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
$3,724,699 Vol.
<1%
Reza Pirzadeh
$187,926 Vol.
<1%
Navid Shomali
$259,911 Vol.
<1%
Mustafa Hijri
$242,120 Vol.
<1%
Ali Motahari
$860,262 Vol.
<1%
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
$442,712 Vol.
<1%
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
$3,386,386 Vol.
<1%
Sadegh Mahsouli
$276,151 Vol.
<1%
Saeed Jalili
$425,584 Vol.
<1%
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
$1,140,580 Vol.
<1%
Mohammad Khatami
$5,222,743 Vol.
<1%
Mohsen Araki
$332,325 Vol.
<1%
Nasir Hosseini
$303,431 Vol.
<1%
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani
$336,999 Vol.
<1%
Ali Asghar Hejazi
$394,030 Vol.
<1%
Mohammad Pakpour
$0 Vol.
0%
Ali Larijani
$236,860 Vol.
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appo... This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Market Opened: Feb 28, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
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