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French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
$131,555 Vol.Apr 18, 2027PolyBet
Jordan Bardella
$14,680 Vol.
2%
Michel Barnier
$2,475 Vol.
2%
Valérie Pécresse
$2,430 Vol.
2%
Élisabeth Borne
$5,641 Vol.
3%
1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$2,586 Vol.
4%
Jean Castex
$1,808 Vol.
2%
Gérald Darmanin
$2,476 Vol.
3%
Sébastien Lecornu
$7,921 Vol.
3%
François Bayrou
$3,611 Vol.
3%
Bernard Cazeneuve
$5,750 Vol.
3%
1%
Carole Delga
$2,269 Vol.
3%
François Hollande
$3,957 Vol.
16%
Manuel Bompard
$3,947 Vol.
5%
Mathilde Panot
$19,746 Vol.
2%
Dominique de Villepin
$3,127 Vol.
83%
2%
Éric Zemmour
$14,456 Vol.
100%
14%
Gabriel Attal
$1,398 Vol.
100%
9%
Olivier Faure
$2,976 Vol.
100%
50%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$12,750 Vol.
100%
13%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$7,073 Vol.
100%
3%
Marine Le Pen
$10,478 Vol.
100%
2%
Rules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the... The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
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