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2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Politics Vol. $400,673 50 traders

Jean-Luc Mélenchon96%
Marine Le Pen88%
Nathalie Arthaud86%
Fabien Roussel85%
$400,673 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

46
Chance
Marine Le Pen
88% ▼ 1
Jordan Bardella
12%
Éric Zemmour
78% ▲ 3
Édouard Philippe
83% ▼ 1
David Lisnard
68% ▼ 1
Xavier Bertrand
14%
Laurent Wauquiez
3%
François Ruffin
25% ▼ 1
Gabriel Attal
26%
Bruno Retailleau
73% ▼ 2
François Hollande
40% ▲ 2
Raphaël Glucksmann
63% ▼ 1
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
96% ▼ 1
Marine Tondelier
25%
Fabien Roussel
85% ▲ 1
Olivier Faure
9% ▼ 5
Dominique de Villepin
31% ▼ 1
Ségolène Royal
4%
François Asselineau
11%
Clémentine Autain
<1%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
57% ▼ 1
Michel Barnier
6%
Valérie Pécresse
4%
François Bayrou
5%
Élisabeth Borne
6%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
5%
Jean Castex
4%
Gérald Darmanin
3%
Carole Delga
4%
Bernard Cazeneuve
7% ▲ 1
Manuel Bompard
7%
Mathilde Panot
4% ▲ 1
Sarah Knafo
15% ▲ 1
Sébastien Lecornu
6%
Jean-Michel Fauvergue
8% ▲ 1
Nathalie Arthaud
86%
Delphine Batho
9%
Jérôme Guedj
4%
Karim Bouamrane
4%
Michel-Edouard Leclerc
4%
Manuel Valls
4% ▼ 1
Teddy Riner
5%
Matthieu Pigasse
6% ▼ 1
Juan Branco
14% ▲ 2
Philippe de Villiers
4%
Bally Bagayoko
6%

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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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