Jerome Powell predictions & odds

Fed Decision in October?

50+ bps decrease 0% Yes No

25 bps decrease 1% Yes No

$4.6MVol. 29 oct Fed

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 95% Yes No

1 (25 bps) 2% Yes No

$52.7MVol. 31 dec Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec

Fed Decision in December?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No

25 bps decrease 1% Yes No

$956.9KVol. 10 dec Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?

Inflation 40+ times 0% Yes No

Inflation 20+ times 0% Yes No

$143.0KVol. 17 sept Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

January Meeting 0% Yes No

March Meeting 0% Yes No

$3.6MVol. 8 jan Jerome Powell